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Data-Driven Discovery of Mobility Periodicity for Understanding Urban Systems

Created by
  • Haebom

Author

Xinyu Chen, Qi Wang, Yunhan Zheng, Nina Cao, HanQin Cai, Jinhua Zhao

Outline

This paper presents a novel framework for quantifying periodicity and discovering interpretable periodic patterns in large-scale human mobility data. Using a method that identifies sparse, dominant positive autocorrelation in time-series autoregression, we apply this approach to subway passenger flow data from Hangzhou, China, and multi-modal travel data from New York City and Chicago, USA, revealing interpretable weekly periodicities across multiple spatial locations over multiple years. Furthermore, we analyze ride-sharing data from 2019 to 2024 to demonstrate the devastating impact of the pandemic on mobility regularities and the subsequent recovery trends. Analyzing the periodic travel patterns of ride-sharing, taxi, subway, and bike-sharing in Manhattan in 2024 reveals the regularities and variability of these modes. This study highlights the potential of interpretable machine learning for discovering spatiotemporal mobility patterns and provides a valuable tool for understanding urban systems.

Takeaways, Limitations

Takeaways:
We present a novel methodology for effectively identifying and quantifying periodic patterns in large-scale human movement data.
Quantitatively analyze and visualize the impact of external factors, such as pandemics, on human mobility.
Providing data-driven insights that can be used to support decision-making in diverse fields such as urban planning and transportation management.
Effectively analyze complex spatiotemporal data patterns using interpretable machine learning techniques.
Limitations:
The data used in the analysis were geographically limited (Hangzhou, New York City, and Chicago). Further research is needed to determine the generalizability of the findings to other regions.
Dependence on specific transportation data. The need for greater comprehensiveness in analysis through integration of diverse data sources.
Data limitations for long-term trend analysis. Analysis utilizing longer-term data is necessary.
Further validation of the model's interpretability is needed.
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