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Scientifically-Interpretable Reasoning Network (ScIReN): Discovering Hidden Relationships in the Carbon Cycle and Beyond

Created by
  • Haebom

Author

Joshua Fan, Haodi Xu, Feng Tao, Md Nasim, Marc Grimson, Yiqi Luo, Carla P. Gomes

Outline

This paper highlights the importance of understanding the soil carbon cycle for climate change mitigation, highlighting the limitations of existing mathematical process-based models (unknown parameters, inaccurate fit to observations) and neural networks (ignoring scientific laws, black-box nature). Therefore, we propose a novel framework, Scientifically-Interpretable Reasoning Network (ScIReN), that combines interpretable neural networks and process-based reasoning. ScIReN predicts scientifically meaningful latent parameters through an interpretable encoder (using Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks) and then passes these parameters to a differentiable, process-based decoder to predict output variables. A novel smoothness penalty and hard sigmoid constraint layer are employed to incorporate prior scientific knowledge, improving prediction accuracy and interpretability. ScIReN is applied to two tasks: soil organic carbon flux simulation and plant ecosystem respiration modeling, demonstrating higher prediction accuracy and scientific interpretability than black-box neural networks. We demonstrate that ScIReN can infer relationships between potential scientific mechanisms and input features.

Takeaways, Limitations

Takeaways:
We present ScIReN, an interpretable machine learning model that integrates scientific prior knowledge, to improve the accuracy and interpretability of soil carbon cycle modeling.
ScIReN can reveal the relationship between potential scientific mechanisms and input features while achieving higher prediction accuracy than black-box models.
We present a novel method to improve model interpretability and performance using Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks, a novel smoothness penalty, and hard sigmoid constraint layers.
It provides a new tool that can contribute to soil carbon cycle research and the development of climate change mitigation strategies.
Limitations:
ScIReN's performance can be highly dependent on the quality and quantity of data used. Insufficient or poor-quality data can reduce the model's accuracy and interpretability.
As model complexity increases, interpretation difficulty can increase. Maintaining interpretability can be challenging when dealing with high-dimensional data.
The generalization performance of ScIReN to other environments or systems beyond the two presented tasks requires further study.
The accuracy of the scientific prior knowledge used can affect the performance and interpretation of ScIReN. Incorrect prior knowledge can lead to errors.
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