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Pricing AI Model Accuracy

Created by
  • Haebom

Author

Nikhil Kumar

Outline

This paper analyzes firms competing to provide accurate model predictions in the AI model market and consumers who exhibit heterogeneous preferences for model accuracy. We develop a consumer-firm duopoly model to analyze the impact of competition on firms' incentives to improve model accuracy. While each firm seeks to minimize model error, this choice may not be optimal. Counterintuitively, we find that in a competitive market, improving overall accuracy does not necessarily improve profits. Instead, the optimal decision for each firm is to invest more in the error dimension where it has a competitive advantage. By decomposing model error into false positive and false negative rates, firms can reduce errors in each dimension through investment. Investing in the advantage dimension is strictly better for firms, while investing in the disadvantage dimension is strictly worse. While profitable investments negatively impact consumers, they increase overall welfare.

Takeaways, Limitations

Takeaways: We show that in a competitive market, improving AI model accuracy can have conflicting effects on corporate profits and consumer welfare. The optimal strategy for a firm is to focus on relative strengths, which may differ from improving overall accuracy. We also suggest that profitable investments can enhance overall societal welfare.
Limitations: The model is limited to a duopoly market, limiting its generalizability to diverse market structures. Results may vary depending on the specific modeling method for heterogeneous consumer preferences. It may not adequately reflect the complexities of real markets (e.g., model development costs, technological constraints, etc.).
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