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Breaking the Context Bottleneck on Long Time Series Forecasting

Created by
  • Haebom

Author

Chao Ma, Yikai Hou, Xiang Li, Yinggang Sun, Haining Yu, Zhou Fang, Jiaxing Qu

Outline

This paper proposes Logsparse Decomposable Multiscaling (LDM), a novel framework for achieving both efficiency and effectiveness in long-term time series forecasting. To address the problem of existing models overfitting to long input sequences, LDM reduces non-stationarity by separating patterns across different scales within the time series, improves efficiency through compressed long input representations, and simplifies the architecture through clear task allocation. Experimental results demonstrate that LDM outperforms existing models on long-term forecasting benchmarks, while also reducing training time and memory costs.

Takeaways, Limitations

Takeaways:
Improving the accuracy of long-term time series forecasting: We experimentally demonstrate that LDM outperforms existing methods in long-term forecasting.
Improved efficiency: Increased efficiency in processing long input sequences, reducing training time and memory usage.
Non-stationarity reduction: Improved forecasting performance by reducing non-stationarity in time series through multi-scale modeling.
Simplified model architecture: Reduced the complexity of model architecture through clear task assignment.
Limitations:
Further validation of the generalizability of the experimental results presented in this paper is needed. Additional experiments on various datasets and scenarios may be necessary.
Detailed descriptions and guidelines for tuning LDM parameters may be lacking. Additional research may be needed to determine optimal parameter settings.
It may only be effective for certain types of time series data. Further research is needed to determine its applicability to various types of time series data.
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