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The Roots of International Perceptions: Simulating US Attitude Changes Towards China with LLM Agents

Created by
  • Haebom

Author

Nicholas Sukiennik, Yichuan Xu, Yuqing Kan, Jinghua Piao, Yuwei Yan, Chen Gao, Yong Li

Outline

This paper is the first to simulate the evolution of American attitudes toward China over a 20-year period, from 2005 to the present, using a large-scale language model (LLM). To address a broad range of scenarios of evolving American perceptions of China, we propose a framework that integrates cognitive structures for media data collection, user profile generation, and opinion updates. Leveraging the LLM's capabilities, we extract objective news content, uncover the influence of biased media exposure and the sources of extreme opinion formation, and introduce a "devil's advocate" agent to explain the shift from negative to positive attitudes. The simulation results validate the framework and demonstrate the impact of biased framing and selection bias on attitude formation. In conclusion, this study presents a new paradigm for modeling cognitive behavior in large-scale, long-term, cross-national social contexts. This approach offers insights into the formation of international biases, provides insights into the factors that shape media consumers' perspectives, and contributes to reducing bias and promoting intercultural tolerance.

Takeaways, Limitations

Takeaways:
Presenting a new paradigm for modeling large-scale, long-term cross-national social attitude change using LLM.
Provides insights into the impact of biased media exposure and selection bias on the formation of international biases.
Understanding the factors that shape media consumers' perspectives, reducing bias, and promoting intercultural tolerance Takeaways is presented.
Analysis of the causes of positive/negative attitude changes through the Devil's Advocate agent.
Limitations:
Because the simulation in this study focuses only on the relationship between specific countries (the United States and China), generalizations to relationships between other countries may be limited.
Verification of the representativeness and reliability of the media data used is required.
Further research is needed to determine the accuracy and generalizability of the model due to limitations of LLM.
Further validation of the effectiveness and reliability of the Devil's Advocate agent is needed.
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