Daily Arxiv

This is a page that curates AI-related papers published worldwide.
All content here is summarized using Google Gemini and operated on a non-profit basis.
Copyright for each paper belongs to the authors and their institutions; please make sure to credit the source when sharing.

Physics-Informed Teleconnection-Aware Transformer for Global Subseasonal-to-Seasonal Forecasting

Created by
  • Haebom

Author

Tengfei Lyu, Weijia Zhang, Hao Liu

Outline

This paper proposes TelePiT, a novel deep learning architecture, to address the challenges of intraseasonal to seasonal (S2S) forecasting, which involves forecasting climate conditions weeks to months in advance. TelePiT accurately encodes global atmospheric variables into spherical geometry via spherical harmonic function embeddings, explicitly captures atmospheric physical processes across a variety of learnable frequency bands via multiscale physics-informed neural ODEs, and explicitly models teleconnection patterns via a teleconnection-aware transformer to model critical global climate interactions. Experimental results show that TelePiT outperforms state-of-the-art data-driven baseline and operational numerical weather forecasting systems across all forecast horizons.

Takeaways, Limitations

Takeaways:
We present TelePiT, a novel deep learning architecture that significantly improves the accuracy of S2S predictions.
Overcoming limitations of existing methods by explicitly modeling multiscale physical processes and teleconnections.
It presents potential applications in various fields such as agricultural planning, energy management, and disaster preparedness.
Producing results that surpass the performance of existing numerical forecasting systems.
Limitations:
The paper lacks detailed descriptions of specific teleconnection pattern modeling methods.
There is a possibility that it may not fully reflect the complexity of various climate systems.
Further research is needed to verify performance and apply it in actual operating environments.
Further research may be needed to explore the model's interpretability and explainability.
👍