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Economic Evaluation of LLMs

Created by
  • Haebom

Author

Michael J. Zellinger, Matt Thomson

Outline

This paper presents a novel framework for evaluating the performance-cost trade-off problem of LLMs (Large Language Models) from an economic perspective. We point out that the existing Pareto optimal frontier approach has limitations in comparing LLMs with different strengths and weaknesses (e.g., cheap but error-prone models vs. expensive but accurate models), and propose a method to quantify the performance of LLMs as a single economic indicator by considering error costs, delay costs, and query rejection costs. We compare and analyze inference models and non-inference models using difficult questions from the MATH benchmark. We find that inference models provide a better performance-cost trade-off when the error cost exceeds $0.01, and a single large LLM outperforms the cascade model when the error cost is around $0.1. In conclusion, when automating meaningful human tasks using AI models, it is generally more efficient to use the most powerful model possible, since the economic impact of AI errors is much larger than the cost of AI deployment.

Takeaways, Limitations

Takeaways:
Presenting an economic evaluation framework for comparing the performance of LLMs
Proving the superiority of the inference model when considering error costs
Emphasize the efficiency of a single large LLM (especially when the cost of errors is high)
Emphasizes that the economic impact of AI errors is more important than the cost of AI deployment
Limitations:
Further research is needed on the generalizability of the proposed economic evaluation framework.
Need to examine the generalizability of results to specific benchmarks (MATH)
Additional experiments are needed for different types of LLMs and application areas.
Difficulty in estimating economic variables such as error costs, delay costs, and query rejection costs, and the need to consider subjectivity
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